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Sales

The category, counted

Sena runs market sizing from what people in each market bought in the category and what they paid.

  • 190+ countries
  • 5M+ consumer network
  • 250+ integrations
The problem

What a size figure carries

Most sizing work arrives as a number in a plan. Three things decide whether it holds, and each one shows up when the number has to carry a budget.

01

Built from other estimates

THE FIGURE ASSUMPTION ASSUMPTION ASSUMPTION THE MEASUREMENT IS AT THE BOTTOM THE FIGURE RECORDED PURCHASE ONE LAYER, NOT FOUR

A size figure assembled from published totals inherits every assumption underneath them. The chain of sources runs several layers deep, and the original measurement sits at the bottom.

  • Each layer adds an assumption the final number carries silently.
  • Two credible sources produce figures a factor apart.
02

The market is a region

REGION · $518M ONE TOTAL TOO COARSE TO ACT ON CONVERTERS AVERAGED WITH STALLERS FR DE ES PL RO THE ONE WORTH ENTERING, NAMED

A single figure covers a region, so the country worth entering sits inside an average with several weaker ones.

  • The market that would convert is averaged with the markets that would stall
  • Investment follows a total too coarse to act on
03

The number resists auditing

WHAT DOES IT REST ON? WEEKS TO SUBSTANTIATE REACHABLE IN THE MEETING

A board asks what the estimate rests on. The answer describes a methodology, and the purchases underneath it stay out of reach.

  • A challenged figure takes weeks to substantiate.
  • The plan loses its budget while the size waits for evidence.
What Sena does for market sizing

The size, counted

Sena is the decision AI with access to real-world data. It counts what people in each market bought in the category and what they paid, so the size rests on purchases that were recorded.

Per market

Counted per market

Sena counts category purchases in each market on its own, so the country worth entering arrives as its own line.

  • Each market is sized separately, with its own figure and trend.
  • Demand broken out by segment within every market.
Both inputs

Price beside volume

Sena reports what buyers there paid alongside how many bought, so the value figure carries both inputs.

  • Category price read-off dated store captures.
  • Promotions counted inside the price a buyer met.
It opens

An estimate that opens

Every figure opens to the market, the date, and the capture behind it, so the number gets defended.

  • The purchases underneath a size figure stay reachable.
  • A challenged estimate gets substantiated inside the meeting.
The method

How to do market sizing

Market sizing estimates how much of a category a market represents. Two approaches dominate, and they differ on where the number starts.

Top-down and bottom-up

Where the number starts
Approach 01Fast
PUBLISHED CATEGORY TOTAL NARROWED BY SHARE

Top-down

Start from a published category total and narrow it by share.

Inherits the assumptions in the source
Approach 02Slower
THE TOTAL, BUILT BUYERS × FREQUENCY × PRICE

Bottom-up market sizing

Start from the buyers and multiply up: how many bought, how often, and at what price.

Rests on counted units

Bottom-up market sizing is the sounder and harder method because it needs a count of real buyers. That count is what Sena supplies.

The market sizing framework

Step 01

Define the category boundary

Name what counts as the category in that market. The boundary decides the total, so it decides the answer.

Step 02

Fix the market and the window

One country, one period. A regional figure averages the market worth entering into the rest.

Step 03

Count the buyers and the price

Sena counts recorded purchases in that market and captures what the category charges there across the same dates.

Step 04

Multiply and compare

Volume against price gives the value figure. Run it per market, then rank the markets by what the count found.

What the analysis returns and what it decides

CATEGORY SIZE PER MARKET COUNTED THE PRICE BUYERS PAID DATED THE SEGMENTS CARRYING IT NAMED EVERY FIGURE OPENS TO THE PURCHASES FOUR RETURNS, ONE COUNT
01

What the analysis returns

The category size per market, with the purchases counted behind each figure. The price buyers paid there, dated to the capture. The segments inside the market carrying the volume.

Every figure open to the purchases counted behind it.

SIZED ON COUNT CARRIES A BUDGET SIZED ON INFERENCE CARRIES LESS 1ST THE PLAN STARTS HERE A REVISION WITH ITS CAUSE
02

Where the estimate decides

A market sized on counted purchase carries a budget more comfortably than one sized on inference. The market ranked first by count is where the entry plan starts.

A revision to the figure arrives with the change in purchase that caused it.

Direct from real consumers

Shared under explicit consent

Real people share what they buy and prefer, under explicit consent. Sena captures it directly at the source, so every figure traces back to where it came from whenever a number comes under question.

Real people, real consent Zero-party data straight from the source Traceable and verifiable
Sena for market sizing

Ask Sena how big

Sena answers sizing questions from consumer data collected under explicit consent, then names the market worth entering.

Sena, rebuilt in CSS · figures in this exchange are illustrative

What makes a size figure hold

Per marketReconciled first

Four markets, counted apart

Sena answers a sizing question across the markets a team names, and reconciles each market line before reporting it.

Cross-market count
Both inputsVolume and price

Read volume against price

Sena places the counted purchase beside what buyers paid for the same window, so the value figure carries both inputs.

The value figure
Every sizeOpens to the count

Trace a size to source

A size figure opens to the market; the date and the purchases are counted. A budget question resolves to the buyers counted, market by market.

Counted and traceable

Size the opportunity

One figure, set from four inputs, estimating the addressable market across the countries under consideration.

Shape of the business
The four inputs
Addressable buyers per segment1,200,000
Markets18
ARPU (USD)24
Penetration %4
Addressable
$518.4M Buyers per segment × markets × ARPU
Obtainable at the stated penetration
$20.7M Addressable × penetration, reported on its own line
addressable=buyers×markets×ARPU obtainable=addressable×penetration
Every buyer count is drawn from people recorded buying the category, market by market, so the figure rests on recorded purchase, market by market. Markets cap at 190 · refresh reported beside the number, not inside the formula · presets are placeholders pending a pass on customer data
How Sena reaches the answer

What the estimate rests on

A sizing number rests on the count behind it

A sizing number rests on the count behind it. Sena builds every figure here from real-world signals, captured when the question needs it. It runs from people buying the category today through to the dated capture a team opens when the board asks where the number came from.

Consumer activity

Counts what people in each market bought in the category and what they paid, so the size rests on recorded purchase.

Computer vision

Reads category presence off images captured in real stores, counting what is stocked and priced where the category sells.

Zero-party data

Signal arrives from the consumer network under explicit consent. The denominator rests on people who agreed to share what they buy.

Connect your systems

Brings the sell-out figures, CRM, and revenue data in through 250+ integrations, so own volume reads against the category count.

Trace every answer

Each figure carries the market, the date, and the capture forward, so a size estimate opens to the market, the date, and the captures behind it.

From files to databases

Turns scattered sizing files, exports, and spreadsheets so an estimate draws on every record the team has filed.

Who defends it

Who defends the size

Four teams read the same count, and each one needs a different cut of it before they can act.

Business development

The market case. Needs the category counted in each candidate before the plan sets.

Sales leadership

The territory plan. Needs the market ranked by what buyers there bought.

Commercial finance

The budget. Needs a size figure that opens to the market, the date, and the captures behind it.

Product marketing

The segment case. Needs: Which segment inside the market carries the volume?

By industry

Sizing across every market

The same count, read against the decision each category actually makes.

01

CPG and retail

Category purchases are counted in-store, market by market, with the local price.

02

Financial services

How many consumers in that region took up the product class, and on what terms?

03

Telecom

Subscriber volume by market, counted from what people there pay.

04

Consumer tech

Counted purchase set against stated intent for the same window.

The mechanism

Consumer to size, three steps

One mechanism, applied per market and per category. Each step is documented, which is what keeps the estimate defensible.

Step 01 · Capture

Capture

Real contributors share what they buy and pay under explicit consent in the markets named.

  • Real buyers in the markets under review
  • Explicit consent on every signal
Step 02 · Count

Count

Sena counts recorded category purchases in each market and captures the local price across the same dates.

  • Purchases counted, not inferred
  • The local price across the same dates
Step 03 · Project

Project

Volume against price returns the size per market, with the capture behind every figure.

  • A size figure per market, ranked
  • The capture behind every figure
What changes

Sized from counted purchase

Most sizing narrows a published total. Sena counts purchases in that market first, then projects from a measured base.

Capability areaTypical setupSena
Where the number startsA published category total, narrowed by assumed share.Purchase count among real buyers in that market, then projected from that measured base.
The price inputAn average list price applied across the market.What buyers there paid, captured, and dated.
Market granularityA regional total covering several countries.Each market counted on its own, with the segment named.
CadenceA commissioned exercise, repeated when budget allows.Collection runs against the category boundary and the market being sized.
Segment detailSplit by assumption after the total is set.Counted inside the market, from what each segment bought.
Auditing a figureA methodology document, with the source held by the provider.Any size figure opens to the market, the date, and the captures it was counted from.
Use cases

Three sizing calls

Three situations where a counted size changes the decision on the table.

01 The entry caseOn purchase

Size a market before entry

Count what buyers there already pay for the category, so the entry case rests on purchase.

See purchase driver analysis →
02 The countIn the room

Defend the number

Bring the purchases behind the estimate into the room so the figure holds under questioning.

See promotion ROI analysis →
03 Inside the marketWho holds it

Find the segment carrying it

Read which segment inside the market holds the volume, then aim the territory plan there.

See brand perception tracking →
See it in one market

Bring one market to size.

The walkthrough counts the category in the markets named and opens the purchases behind every figure while the team watches.

What a walkthrough covers

  1. 01Category purchases counted in three markets named and reported separately
  2. 02The price buyers there paid, dated to the capture
  3. 03The segments inside each market carrying the volume
  4. 04The dated capture behind any size figure worth tracing

Talk to the Rwazi team

Tell us the category and the markets, and we will bring the count.

FAQ

Market sizing questions

01 What is market sizing?
Market sizing estimates how much of a category a given market represents, in volume or in value. Most estimates narrow a published total by assumed share. Sena counts what people in that market bought and what they paid, so the figure rests on recorded purchases and opens to the captures behind it.
02 How to do market sizing?
Define the category boundary, fix the market and the window, count the buyers and the price, then multiply and compare across markets. Holding the boundary and the window constant is what makes two markets comparable. Sena runs the count per market and dates each capture.
03 How to do bottom-up market sizing?
Start from buyers, ahead of any published total: how many bought in that market, how often, and at what price. The method is sounder and harder because it needs a real count. Sena supplies that count from a 5M+ consumer network across 190+ countries.
04 What is a market sizing framework?
A market sizing framework sets the order: boundary, market, window, count, and multiply. Frameworks are clear on structure and quiet on where the count comes from. Sena fills that gap with recorded purchase and captured price for the market named.
05 How to conduct market sizing for B2B?
For a business category, the demand signal usually sits one layer down; in the consumer market, the business buyer serves. Sena counts that layer per market, so a B2B market sizing estimate rests on what end buyers there purchased.
06 What is market sizing analysis?
It is the read that comes after the count: which markets carry the volume, which segments inside them hold it, and how the price varies. Sena reports all three per market, each figure opening to the market, the date, and the capture.
07 How current is a Sena size estimate?
Sena runs the collection for the market named when the question needs it, so the estimate reflects the category as it stands in that market now. A figure produced this cycle carries this cycle's captures.
08 Can Sena size a market with little published data?
Yes. The consumer network reaches 190+ countries, and the count comes from what buyers there shared under explicit consent. The estimate holds in markets that publish little, because it depends on the purchases themselves.
09 What data does Sena use to size a market?
Zero-party data, shared directly and on purpose by people in that market, drawn from a 5M+ consumer network under explicit consent, across 190+ countries. Sena sets it beside store captures from real outlets and beside own sell-out figures through 250+ integrations.